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Polymarket Under Scrutiny Following Suspicious Iran Strike Betting

Regulators and lawmakers are investigating potential insider trading on prediction markets after accounts profited significantly from bets placed just before military strikes in Iran.

3 articles, 2 posts·March 2 – March 7, 2026

Key Points

  • Suspicious betting patterns linked to Iran strikes
  • Over $1.2 million in profits generated by specific accounts
  • Increased scrutiny on the role of prediction markets in national security
  • Investigation launched into Polymarket's betting activity
3 News·6 days ago – Today
News

Iran-related bets on prediction sites scrutinized over 'death markets' and possible insider trades

CNN International

News

Iran bets on prediction markets draw scrutiny: "Suspected insiders"

news_article

News

Khamenei's killing spurs outrage among Kalshi and Polymarket users over claims of rigged markets and insider trading

news_article

2 Social·5 days ago – Yesterday
Social

"Most of the wallets were funded within 24 hours of the attack and bought...shares just hours before explosions in Tehran, with one account purchasing over 560,000 shares at about 10.8 cents—later paying out nearly $560,000 when the market settled at $1." https://t.co/LthXZuPYxt

Chris Murphy 🟧 on x

Social

Hours before U.S. strikes in Iran, new accounts made predictions on Polymarket, which Trump Jr. is on the advisory board for, raking in massive profits. This is beyond suspicious. No one should profit from a war that has already cost American lives — these bets need to be investigated and banned.

bluesky

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